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Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO

Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO

Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO                                        Crude oil is once again making headlines as it struggles to hold onto the $30 per barrel mark.  The world’s most popular commodity has dropped 17% year-to-date and has everyone trying to pick a bottom. Is a drop in the price of oil good for the […]

Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO

Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO

Buying A Call Option On United States Oil $USO Crude oil is once again making headlines as it plunges towards the $40 per barrel mark.  The world’s most popular commodity has dropped 20% over the past month and has everyone trying to pick a bottom. Is a drop in the price of oil good for […]

Buying A Call Option On Intel $INTC

Buying A Call Option On Intel $INTC

Buying A Call Option On Intel $INTC                                        The semiconductor industry has been on an interesting path so far this year.  Overall, chipmakers are underperforming the market as a whole.  However, certain individual companies are doing quite well. The biggest news from the industry has been the amount of huge mergers over the last year.  Three […]

Buying A Put Option On Box $BOX

Buying A Put Option On Box $BOX

Buying A Put Option On Box $BOX There are typically ample opportunities to find attractive call option to buy on a weekly basis.  It’s fairly common to find stocks that have been oversold in the short-term.  There are plenty of reasons for overselling to take place. On the other hand, overbought stocks are harder to […]

Buying A Call Option On Marvell Technology $MRVL

Buying A Call Option On Marvell Technology $MRVL

Buying A Call Option On Marvell Technology $MRVL Big things are happening in the semiconductor industry.  Avago Technologies $AVGO is buying Broadcom $BRCM for $37 billion.  That’s the largest chip industry deal ever.  The combined entity will provide chips for everything from iPhones to server farms. That’s obviously big news for the industry, which has […]

Buying A Call Option on Take-Two Interactive Software $TTWO

Buying A Call Option on Take-Two Interactive Software $TTWO

Buying A Call Option On Take-Two Interactive Software $TTWO                                        Video game companies can make for interesting investment opportunities.  Like a movie production company, the fortunes of a business can often come from one blockbuster hit.  However, it can be often difficult to predict what game is going to be the next blockbuster. Moreover, the gaming […]

Unusual Options Trading Activity

Unusual Options Activity In Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF $GDXJ

Unusual Options Activity In Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF $GDXJ

Unusual Options Activity Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF $GDXJ  As many of you know, unusual options activity can be a valuable indicator as to what traders are thinking, and more importantly, where these stocks are heading in the short-term. This is something professional options traders pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason…  Unusual […]

Unusual Options Activity In Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF $XLK

Unusual Options Activity In Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF $XLK

Unusual Options Activity In Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF $XLK  As many of you know, unusual options activity can be a valuable indicator as to what traders are thinking, and more importantly, where these stocks are heading in the short-term. This is something professional options traders pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason…  Unusual […]

Unusual Options Activity In Best Buy $BBY

Unusual Options Activity In Best Buy $BBY

Unusual Options Activity In Best Buy $BBY  As many of you know, unusual options activity can be a valuable indicator as to what traders are thinking, and more importantly, where these stocks are heading in the short-term. This is something professional options traders pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason…  Unusual options activity can […]

Unusual Options Activity In Disney $DIS

Unusual Options Activity In Disney $DIS

Unusual Options Activity In Disney $DIS  As many of you know, unusual options activity can be a valuable indicator as to what traders are thinking, and more importantly, where these stocks are heading in the short-term. This is something professional options traders pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason…  Unusual options activity can “tip […]

Unusual Options Activity In JP Morgan $JPM

Unusual Options Activity In JP Morgan $JPM

Unusual Options Activity In JP Morgan $JPM As many of you know, unusual options activity can be a valuable indicator as to what traders are thinking, and more importantly, where these stocks are heading in the short-term. This is something professional options traders pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason…  Unusual options activity can […]

Unusual Options Activity In Morgan Stanley $MS

Unusual Options Activity In Morgan Stanley $MS

Unusual Options Activity In Morgan Stanley $MS  As many of you know, unusual options activity can be a valuable indicator as to what traders are thinking, and more importantly, where these stocks are heading in the short-term. This is something professional options traders pay a lot of attention to, and for good reason…  Unusual options activity can […]

Breaking News

What, Me Worry?

What, Me Worry?

As we contemplate the upcoming U.S. presidential election one of our chief investment related concerns is the potential for the election results to roil markets. Strangely, the equity markets trade as if the election results, be it a Clinton or Trump victory, are inconsequential for share prices. That stance is greatly at odds with what […]

Be A Contrarian Investor: 3 Ways To Think Differently In The Stock Market

Be A Contrarian Investor: 3 Ways To Think Differently In The Stock Market

In a previous post, I discussed five steps investors must take in order to buy low and sell high in the stock market. Those five steps boiled down to this simple fact: You must be a contrarian investor in order to profit in the stock market. So what is a contrarian investor and how do […]

The Death Of Alternatives Has Been Greatly Exaggerated

The Death Of Alternatives Has Been Greatly Exaggerated

Is the bell tolling for alternatives? Investors seem to think so. But despite recent poor performance, alternatives have a long life ahead and will be vitally important in the years to come, in our view. It’s clear from our conversations with clients that many people are losing faith in alternative investments. “I tried alternatives,” they […]

Stock Market Melt-Up Leading To A Crash In 2016?

Stock Market Melt-Up Leading To A Crash In 2016?

Melt-ups precede a major stock market crash, and by all appearances we may be in a melt-up right now that could cause a stock market crash in 2016. First, a small bit of euphoria kicked up permabull adrenaline in the US market when Brexit didn’t make the American sky fall overnight. At the same time, […]

Earnings Report Card: Stocks To Buy & Sell

Earnings Report Card: Stocks To Buy & Sell

Stocks look like they will extend their profit recession for a fifth quarter in a row, but not all stocks reported lower earnings. Bret Jensen shares which stocks and sectors that he is bullish on and those that he wants to avoid for the time being. The markets keep grinding up and hitting all-time highs […]

Stocks Are Cheap… Compared To Bonds

Stocks Are Cheap… Compared To Bonds

Despite the recent S&P 500 rally, stocks are still cheap relative to bonds, that’s the key takeaway from a research note out today from Bank of America Merrill Lynch, which looks at the Fed Model of equity valuation. In Year of “Improbable” Events, Stock Rally Is A Valuation Fairy Tale The Fed Model is based on […]

Volatility Watch

Realized Volatility Profiles: Futures

Realized Volatility Profiles: Futures

Today I will introduce an aspect of volatility that you most likely have not seen being addressed anywhere else: realized volatility profiles. First up let’s make sure you all understand what realized volatility (RV) is and how it compares to implied volatility (IV). Simply RV measures the amount and amplitude of price change observed in […]

Big Time VIX Trades Could Mean Volatility Is About To Decrease

Big Time VIX Trades Could Mean Volatility Is About To Decrease

Big Time VIX Trades Could Mean Volatility Is About To Decrease The VIX continues to generate plenty of financial news as it remains elevated above normal levels.  Volatility has started to settle in recent days, but don’t expect a complete capitulation until after the next Fed meeting. As a reminder, the VIX (S&P 500 Volatility […]

Major VIX Action Suggests Volatility Is Going To Decline

Major VIX Action Suggests Volatility Is Going To Decline

Major VIX Action Suggests Volatility Is Going To Decline The VIX has been front and center in the financial news lately with all the volatility that’s hit the market the past couple weeks.  The collapse of the Chinese economy is spooking investors and adding a sizeable level of uncertainty to US financial markets. As a […]

Why Is The VIX So High?

Why Is The VIX So High?

Why Is The VIX So High? Unless you’ve had no contact with civilization over the past week, you’re likely aware that the stock market has gone through something of a correction.  Moreover, volatility has been through the roof.  In fact, the VIX reached its highest level since 2011. As a brief reminder, the VIX (S&P […]

Big Time VIX Action Suggests A Mostly Calm August

Big Time VIX Action Suggests A Mostly Calm August

Big Time VIX Action Suggests A Mostly Calm August The VIX (S&P 500 Volatility Index) is a measure of implied volatility levels on S&P 500 options.  As many of you know, the VIX is often considered the market’s fear gauge.  Overall market volatility is most commonly tracked by watching the VIX. For those who are […]

Does Recent VIX Action Suggest A Market Meltdown Is Coming?

Does Recent VIX Action Suggest A Market Meltdown Is Coming?

Does Recent VIX Action Suggest A Market Meltdown Is Coming? Savvy investors know that VIX options are always worth keeping an eye on.  It’s where the smart money tends to execute important trading strategies and portfolio hedges.  Some of the biggest trades you’ll ever see happen in the VIX options pit. Of course, the VIX […]

Options Trading Strategies

The Best Strategies For Binary Trading

The Best Strategies For Binary Trading

Binary options are a relatively new trading method which became popular after its approval by U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission in 2008. Binary options require users to predict the future price movement of an underlying asset and they can gain up to 80% profit based on the outcome of the trade. Users need to choose […]

3 Safe Trades Leveraging The Market’s Biggest Trends

3 Safe Trades Leveraging The Market’s Biggest Trends

While the market tests new highs, some stocks and ETFs seem destined to fall. These three contrarian plays make great trades right now, and could be some of your most profitable moves for all of 2016. Changes are coming in three major areas of the market, and being on the right side of these trends […]

5 High Probability Options Trades For May

5 High Probability Options Trades For May

When I first started trading, I ignored the Dow Jones Industrial Average and its ETFs (DIA) because – after all – why would I limit myself to the 30 most popular stocks? But now, as an options trader, I find myself almost limited to those stocks that are most liquid. Because of this, I’ve looked […]

3 Strategies For Shorting The Bursting Biotech Bubble

3 Strategies For Shorting The Bursting Biotech Bubble

Follow any of these three easy to understand, step-by-step strategies that detail exactly how any investor can profit from the collapse in biotech.  The biotech sector is a bursting bubble. Unfortunately, making money from a bursting bubble requires investors to go short on a stock. Shorting a stock exposes an investor to a theoretically infinite […]

2 Options Strategies For Profits From A Hated Sector

2 Options Strategies For Profits From A Hated Sector

In response to a recent article I wrote on the Gold Trust ETF (GLD) some readers have asked my thoughts on gold miners. While my last article was more of a bullish thesis on gold from a fundamental perspective and offered a simple strategy of playing gold by buying GLD, this article on the Market […]

Options Trading Strategies After The Fed Meeting

Options Trading Strategies After The Fed Meeting

Options Trading Strategies After The Fed Meeting Well, we can pretty much shut down for the year now, right?  Arguably the biggest event of the year has come and gone, and it’s time for holiday vacation.  No, I’m not talking about the release of the new Star Wars movie, although that’s certainly a huge deal […]

Options Trading Basics

Key Metrics: Price To Sales Ratio

Key Metrics: Price To Sales Ratio

Today I want to take an in-depth look at what James O’Shaughnessy, author of What Works on Wall Street, found to be the best historical value metric… the price to sales ratio. I’ll discuss how to calculate it, what it tells us, and how you can incorporate the metric in your investing approach. What Is Price To […]

Mean Reversion: What Stocks And NFL Teams Have In Common

Mean Reversion: What Stocks And NFL Teams Have In Common

By studying the long-term performance of professional sports teams, investors can gain a sense of a stock’s future returns. Mean reversion controls stock market returns as much as the outcome of sports competitions. It’s easy for sports fans to assume a championship team will continue its stellar performance into the next season. It’s equally easy […]

Option Basics – Debit Spreads

Option Basics – Debit Spreads

It’s time for the third installment in our tutorial series on option theory. In the last two installments we we covered option basics and then did our best to give you a head start on how to interpret option greeks. Today we’re going to jump right into debit spreads and explain why they often may be preferable to trading […]

Option Basics – The Greeks

Option Basics – The Greeks

It’s time for the second installment in our option basics tutorial series. Today we are going to cover the option greeks – which is commonly considered a dry topic. Well that was until now –  so grab a short sword and a bottle of body oil because you’re going to need it down in the dusty arena when […]

Option Basics

Option Basics

In the context of reintroducing option related strategies here at Evil Speculator I find it important that we establish a baseline of fundamental option related concepts for everyone. Perhaps you’ve never traded options before or maybe you’re just a bit rusty and could use a refresher. So let’s start with the very basics: WHAT IS AN OPTION […]

Herding Bias

Herding Bias

Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a bit of time to spare and decided to grab lunch at a promising looking grill restaurant. As we picked our table my wife noticed a black  Samsonite suitcase that apparently […]