Technical Analysis
Volatility Offers A Clear Edge

Yesterday’s post on volatility introduced you to the basic concept of realized volatility (RV) and how to interpret it in the context of your trading activities. We clearly demonstrated that volatility flows and ebbs in cycles which we can categorize into distinct volatility phases. On a short term basis trading volatility break outs seems tempting except that […]
March Momo Madness

I looked at equities this morning and had to pause a while in awe pondering the veracity of the recent advance in all its glory. Let’s not forget that about six weeks ago we were preparing ourselves for what seemed to be an inevitable awakening of the bear. Even though we never fully discarded the potential for a bullish […]
The Sweet Spot

In the past weeks I have been seeing an increasing amount of charts by analysts predicting an impending large scale correction. There is much talk about turn dates, ominous death crosses, and what have you. I for one have played my part as my long term analysis suggests the possibility of a wipeout, but to […]
Technical Analysis: What A Trend Change Really Means

The S&P 500 had a great run this summer. Over a three month period from June 4th to September 15th, the large cap index shot up 16%. During that time, the S&P set a series of higher highs and higher lows. And it established a strong uptrend. But what a difference a few weeks can […]
Technical Analysis: Read This Before You Buy

It’s been a little more than a week since Fed Chairman Bernanke revealed his plan for a third round of quantitative easing. As expected, the S&P 500 jumped higher in the days following the announcement. However, after the initial surge, the S&P 500 has done little more than tread water. In fact, the large cap […]