Sectors To Watch: Public Sector Jobs Growth

| July 9, 2012 | 0 Comments

job marketUnless you’re living under a rock, you’ve noticed election year politics are starting to heat up.  And the central issue for the majority of voters is jobs.

As you know, the unemployment rate has been stuck at a stubbornly high level in the aftermath of the great recession.  According to Gallup’s unemployment data, 8% of all Americans who want to work can’t find a job.

Here’s what’s even more distressing to me…

According to Gallup, 17.5% of all Americans are underemployed.  This number looks at people who are unemployed and those working part time but looking for full-time work.

Obviously, there are a lot of people who are in need of better paying jobs.

Here’s the thing…

Right now private sector payrolls are expanding.  However, unlike many recoveries before, public sector jobs are disappearing.

Take a look at this chart that’s been floating around the internet the past few days.  It compares private (gold line), state (green), and local (black) job growth during President Obama’s first term with that of President Bush.

As you can see, private payroll job growth has rebounded dramatically under President Obama.  However headwinds from shrinking state and local payrolls have kept the unemployment rate high.

These state and local jobs are teachers, police officers, firemen, and other civil servants.  And there have been over 600,000 of them who have lost their jobs since Obama took office. 

Look, it’s no secret state and local tax receipts fall in hard economic times.  And in order to keep their budgets balanced, these governments have to cut expenses. 

But in past recessions, the Federal Government has funneled money to state and local agencies to prevent massive layoffs of our civil servants.  However, under the Republican led Congress, that money never came. 

Simply put, Tea Party Republicans have sacrificed a more robust jobs recovery in the name of austerity.

Here’s the thing…

To those that are unemployed or looking for a full time job, it doesn’t matter who’s signing the check.  The money still spends the same no matter if it came from the government or a private business. 

Simply put, if the US economy continues to shed public sector jobs, unemployment will remain at a higher level than it would be with those jobs.   

Keep that in mind as you hear politicians blame one another for the high rate of unemployment this election year.

Good Investing,

Corey Williams

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Category: Sectors To Watch

About the Author ()

A former banking executive, Corey Williams is the Chief Options Strategist and co-editor of our well-known daily newsletter, Options Trading Research. Corey’s extensive experience with options goes all the way back to his days in corporate finance. It was this decade in banking where Corey discovered the most important skill an options trader can have– the ability to analyze a company or sector to determine its likely future direction. And now he’s brought this background, experience and love of options to Options Trading Research, the unique daily e-letter devoted exclusively to helping individual investors profit from the very lucrative options market.