The Mole
Mole created Evil Speculator amidst the chaos of the financial crisis in early August of 2008. His vision for Evil Speculator is a refuge of reason, hands-on trading knowledge, and inspiration for traders of all ages and stripes. You can follow him and his nefarious market schemes at various social media waterholes (e.g. youtube, facebook, twitter, stocktwits) and of course on evilspeculator.com.
The Mole's Latest Posts
Option Basics – Debit Spreads
It’s time for the third installment in our tutorial series on option theory. In the last two installments we we covered option basics and then did our best to give you a head start on how to interpret option greeks. Today we’re going to jump right into debit spreads and explain why they often may be preferable to trading […]
Option Basics – The Greeks
It’s time for the second installment in our option basics tutorial series. Today we are going to cover the option greeks – which is commonly considered a dry topic. Well that was until now – so grab a short sword and a bottle of body oil because you’re going to need it down in the dusty arena when […]
Option Basics
In the context of reintroducing option related strategies here at Evil Speculator I find it important that we establish a baseline of fundamental option related concepts for everyone. Perhaps you’ve never traded options before or maybe you’re just a bit rusty and could use a refresher. So let’s start with the very basics: WHAT IS AN OPTION […]
Volatility Offers A Clear Edge
Yesterday’s post on volatility introduced you to the basic concept of realized volatility (RV) and how to interpret it in the context of your trading activities. We clearly demonstrated that volatility flows and ebbs in cycles which we can categorize into distinct volatility phases. On a short term basis trading volatility break outs seems tempting except that […]
Realized Volatility Profiles: Futures
Today I will introduce an aspect of volatility that you most likely have not seen being addressed anywhere else: realized volatility profiles. First up let’s make sure you all understand what realized volatility (RV) is and how it compares to implied volatility (IV). Simply RV measures the amount and amplitude of price change observed in […]
March Momo Madness
I looked at equities this morning and had to pause a while in awe pondering the veracity of the recent advance in all its glory. Let’s not forget that about six weeks ago we were preparing ourselves for what seemed to be an inevitable awakening of the bear. Even though we never fully discarded the potential for a bullish […]
Herding Bias
Something very interesting happened during our trip back to Valencia last Sunday. After checking our luggage and passing through the airport’s security procedures we had a bit of time to spare and decided to grab lunch at a promising looking grill restaurant. As we picked our table my wife noticed a black Samsonite suitcase that apparently […]
Loss Aversion
The tendency to treat money that has already been committed or spent as more valuable than money that may be spent or acquired. Imagine two traders trading the very same stock. One one side we have Mr. Toro who buys 1000 shares of Evil Corp. (ELVC) and on the other side there’s Mr. Grizzle who decides to go […]
The Sweet Spot
In the past weeks I have been seeing an increasing amount of charts by analysts predicting an impending large scale correction. There is much talk about turn dates, ominous death crosses, and what have you. I for one have played my part as my long term analysis suggests the possibility of a wipeout, but to […]
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